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« Who's Geekier, Clinton or Obama? | Main | an open letter to Senators Clinton and Obama »

March 05, 2008

Hillary's "re-start:" Could she win the remaining primaries and still lose?

According to Jonathan Alter at Newsweek, the answer is, "yes."

"...no matter how you cut it, Obama will almost certainly end the primaries with a pledged-delegate lead, courtesy of all those landslides in February. Hillary would then have to convince the uncommitted superdelegates to reverse the will of the people. Even coming off a big Hillary winning streak, few if any superdelegates will be inclined to do so. For politicians to upend what the voters have decided might be a tad, well, suicidal."

The article refers to Slate's delegate calculator, but there are some issues with that, too.

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HRC is no dummy. She must know the math. I think she is going to try to win as many of the remaining states as possible (doesn't matter by how much) so she can point out that given how close the race is, the DNC needs to reconsider the issue of Michigan and Florida. She also needs to win more states to even have a hope to get more superdelegates over/back to her side.

Jonathan Alter is well known for whatever he believes to be "fact" whether or not his view is accurate or even plausible. If the Slate "calculator" didn't fit his assertion, you could be sure he would have found that flawed as well.

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