The election is 52 days away. I'm hearing more and more talk of an "October Surprise" (defined as an event that occurs just in time to swing a Presidential election).
Earlier this week, ABC reported that the McCain campaign is worried that the Troopergate investigation into Sarah Palin's alleged abuse of power may be turned into one that will harm their campaign.
To be honest, I don't think the people who have fallen in love with Governor Palin would give a hoot over this. After all, these are presumably the same people who re-elected George W. Bush, despite evidence that he lied to the nation about weapons of mass destruction and diverted our military from capturing Osama bin Laden and eliminating Al Qaeda in Afghanistan so we could start an unnecessary war in Iraq. Next to that, bullying a public servant to fire a former in-law seems trivial.
But over the last few days, I've been hearing lots of speculation about an operation to capture Osama -- timed just right to be the kind of October surprise that could keep the GOP in power for another four years.
As NPR reported today, the opening salvo was a raid last week by US Special Ops in Pakistan, "part of a three-phase plan, approved by President Bush, to strike at Osama bin Laden and top al-Qaida leadership."
Of course, this is very good news - especially if we can do some real damage to the terrorists' ability to launch more attacks in our country and others.
But you have to wonder about the timing.
According to the Los Angeles Times, new Predator technology that is enabling the drones to accurately identify the precise location of their targets (even when they are inside buildings) has existed for quite some time, and may have had more influence on the "Anbar Awakening" than the so-called "surge."
The Times reports that plans similar to the one being implemented now have been around since 2003.
I wonder. Are the folks within the Bush administration finally listening to Keith Olbermann?
Today's LA Times features an opinion piece about such an October surprise, by Tim Rutten, who warns that capturing bin Laden at this late date could swing the undecided electorate firmly into John McCain's camp... or not:
"If a military technology heretofore monopolized by operations in Iraq finally brings Bin Laden to answer for his crimes, Obama and his supporters can argue that the war in Iraq delayed the day of reckoning in Afghanistan.
"That's the thing about suprises, no matter the month: The consequences are as unlooked-for as the event."
Donna Schwartz Mills is happy that her home town newspaper is still capable of breaking important news stories.
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